By: Lim Yun Han
Based on the article from The Star online, http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=%2F2012%2F7%2F28%2Fbusiness%2F11747417&sec=business, on 28th of July in 2012, the price of pepper in Malaysia dropped to the lowest level in 2012. This is mainly because of the selling pressure from the farmers in Indonesia. Besides, the price level of black pepper is RM 14,570 per tonne and the price for white pepper is RM 23,600 per tonne. Due to the low price of the pepper, the profits gained before the year is all wiping out. The price of pepper is even much lower than the closing price in 2011.
First of all, pepper is one of the important crops in Malaysia because Malaysia is one of the countries that producing pepper. Based on the article, the price of peppers in Malaysia decreased due to the selling pressure from the Indonesian farmers. In my opinion, because of Indonesia's pepper is substitute of Malaysia's pepper, when the price of Indonesia's peppers is low, this forced the price of the Malaysia's peppers had to decrease. I believed this is because buyers will always go for the pepper that is cheaper.

When the price of peppers decrease, there is a movement along the curve. The quantity demanded of peppers is raised from Q1 to Q2 when the price of peppers is dropped from P1 to P2. In this situation, it means the consumers are willing to purchase more peppers.
Moreover, I would argue that when the consumers are happy with the price of peppers decreased, at the same time, there is something happened in quantity supplied. In my opinion, when the price is decreased, the suppliers are not willing to supply more quantity of peppers. The supply curve for peppers is slope upward which means the higher the price for peppers, the suppliers are willing to sell more peppers.
On top of that, a decrease in the price of peppers from P1 to P2 caused the movement along the supply curve of peppers, and then the quantity supplied of peppers decreased from Q1 to Q2. In my opinion, most of the pepper farmers in Malaysia are planted new crop and not willing to continue to produce peppers because of the price of peppers decreased.

In my opinion, when there is a shortage occurred, this may cause some effects. For instance, I think maybe there will be a black market happened and sells the Malaysia's peppers to the consumers with a higher price because of shortage worsens.
In this situation, some of the suppliers noticed that they can increase their output for Malaysia's peppers and then push up the price for Malaysia's peppers. Then, it moves toward to the equilibrium price and the price stop at its equilibrium. Thus, after the price increase, there will be no shortage occurs anymore. Furthermore, I would argue that when the price for Malaysia's peppers increase, some of the consumers will go for the substitute goods of Malaysia's peppers and the quantity demanded for Malaysia's peppers will slightly decrease.